Obama Vows US Will Stay World’s Top Military Power

Looking beyond the wars he inherited, President Barack Obama on Thursday launched a reshaping and shrinking of the military. He vowed to preserve U.S. pre-eminence even as the Army and Marine Corps shed troops and the administration considers reducing its arsenal of nuclear weapons.

The changes won’t come without risk, Defense Secretary Leon Panetta said. But he called it acceptable and, because of budget restraints, inevitable.

In a presentation at the Pentagon, Obama said the U.S. is “turning a page” after having killed Osama bin Laden, withdrawn troops from Iraq and begun to wind down the war in Afghanistan. He outlined a vision for the future that some Republican lawmakers quickly dubbed wrong-headed. [Read more...]

Iran Threatens U.S. Navy As Sanctions Hit Economy

Iran threatened on Tuesday to take action if the U.S. Navy moves an aircraft carrier into the Gulf, Tehran’s most aggressive statement yet after weeks of saber-rattling as new U.S. and EU financial sanctions take a toll on its economy.

The United States dismissed the Iranian threat, saying it was proof that sanctions imposed over Iran’s nuclear program were working. The Pentagon said it would keep sending carrier strike groups through the Gulf regardless.

The prospect of sanctions targeting the oil sector in a serious way for the first time has hit Iran’s rial currency, which reached a record low on Tuesday and has fallen by 40 percent against the dollar in the past month. [Read more...]

A Turning Point In North Korea?

Kim Jong-il’s death may begin a fresh period of confrontation with Seoul if Pyongyang’s new leader attempts to demonstrate his authority

To be honest, nobody knows for sure what may happen in North Korea following the sudden death of Kim Jong-il. A key part of the mercurial dictator’s legacy is the dysfunctional secrecy that envelops the country like a dark funeral shroud. In equal measure, Kim threatened, and felt threatened by, the outside world. His personal insecurity translated into a national policy of paranoia.

The first, pressing consideration for western countries, principally the US, which effectively guarantees South Korea’s defence, will be whether Kim’s designated heir and successor, his third son, Kim Jong-un, is able to assert and entrench his authority. State media yesterday purposefully thrust Kim to the forefront of the nationwide mourning ceremonies, making clear that like his father and grandfather before him, he is the new “dear leader”. [Read more...]

If Iran Gets The Bomb

The world immediately becomes a far more dangerous place.

The International Atomic Energy Agency this week released its most detailed assessment to date about Iran’s efforts to acquire nuclear weapons, and if “Paranormal Activity 3″ wasn’t enough to keep you awake at night, the report’s 14-page annex detailing the state of Iran’s weapons work should do the trick. It lays to rest the fantasies that an Iranian bomb is many years off, or that the intelligence is riddled with holes and doubts, or that the regime’s intentions can’t be guessed by their activities.

So much, then, for the December 2007 National Intelligence Estimate, which asserted “with high confidence” that Iran had abandoned its nuclear-weapons work in 2003 and ended any chance that the Bush Administration would take action against Iran. So much, too, for the Obama Administration’s attempts to move Iran away from its nuclear course, first with diplomatic offers and then with sanctions and covert operations. [Read more...]

UN Links Iran With Nuclear Weapons

The United Nations nuclear watchdog says it has information indicating Iran has carried out tests “relevant to the development of a nuclear explosive device”.

In its latest report on Iran, the International Atomic Energy Agency  says the research includes computer models that could only be used to develop a nuclear bomb trigger.

The BBC  says this is the IAEA’s toughest report on Iran to date.

Tehran condemned the findings as politically motivated. [Read more...]

Arab Uprisings Are Just The Start Of The Revolution

Historians will categorise 2011 as the year when the Arabs’ patience finally snapped. After decades of meekly accepting oppressive, dictatorial rule, they took to the streets to demand change.

But Arabs will be required to find new and deeper reserves of patience as they wait for the real results of the revolutions to appear.

Removing a dictator and holding free elections is one thing. Changing long-solidified attitudes and traditions is something else. [Read more...]

7 Billion Reasons To Empower Women

The world’s population has more than tripled since I was born in 1938. On Monday, our world’s population is expected to hit the milestone of 7 billion people — up from 2.5 billion in 1950 — with almost all of the growth expected to happen in the cities of less developed countries. This means that the problems the world faced when I was a child are even more urgent now for my grandchildren.

If fertility rates continue at expected levels, the world’s population is likely to reach 10.1 billion in the next 90 years. Based on conservative estimates, the number of people in the world should pass 8 billion in 2023, 9 billion by 2041 and 10 billion at some point after 2081. [Read more...]